U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock holds a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Herschel Walker, according to one new poll.
A Quinnipiac University poll is showing that 54% of respondents plan to vote for Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, while 44% will back Walker. That suggests that a vast majority of voters have already made up their minds.
The same poll found the Governor’s race between Republican incumbent Brian Kemp and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams to be a dead heat.
The most important finding of the Senate poll shows that a majority support the incumbent Senator. That leaves Walker no path to victory besides peeling off a significant slice of Warnock’s supporters.
Pollsters gathered responses between June 23 and 27 from 1,497 registered Georgia voters. Warnock’s lead falls outside the poll’s 2.5% margin of error.
They found predictable partisan polarization among voters. About 97% of Democrats break for Warnock and 93% of Republicans support Walker.
But Warnock’s 10-point lead comes as a result of independents breaking his way. Some 62% of those voters not identifying with either party plan to support the Democrat in November.
Warnock won his seat in a 2020 special election, defeating appointed GOP incumbent Kelly Loeffler in a Jan. 5 runoff. With voters weighing in a day before the scheduled certification of the 2020 presidential election.
Warnock boasts strong support from female and Black voters, Quinnipiac pollsters found. Women break Democratic by 61% to 37%. Meanwhile, 88% of Black voters support him and just 10% want Walker to win; both Walker and Warnock are Black men.
White men want Walker to win, though. About 62% of all White voters favor the Republican compared to 35% who would vote for Warnock. Male voters got for Walker by a 52% to 45% margin.
A glance at favorability ratings in the polls is showing the incumbent to be well-liked in general. About 52% consider Warnock honest compared to 33% who think otherwise, and 56% say he has strong leadership skills. Meanwhile, 49% of voters view Walker as not honest, compared to 39% who do consider him as honest. About 43% say the Republican does not have leadership skills, while just 37% believe he does.